According to the monitoring of SunSirs, the price of eggs was 9.15 RMB/kg at the beginning of last week, and 9.49 RMB/kg at the end of last week. The price fell 3.72%, and the price rose 3.38% compared with the same period last year.
The price of feed raw materials runs at a high level, the cost of egg production increases, and the price of eggs rises. At the same time, the enthusiasm of breeding units is weak, and they often extend the feeding cycle to replace the supplement. The increase in the stock of laying hens is limited, and the supply of eggs remains tight. In addition, the stock of eggs in the production and marketing areas remains low, leading to the rise in the price of eggs.
According to the current supplement data and the stock base in December, it is estimated that the theoretical stock of laying hens in the first quarter of 2023 will be between 1,174 million and 1,180 million, which will continue to be at a low level in recent years. At the end of December, the average vacancy rate of the national production areas was 12.10%, which was on the high side, indicating that there was still a large demand for chicken seedlings in the later period.
Supported by the cost and the double positive impact of preparing goods before the festival, it is expected that the egg price will move in a relatively strong shock trend in the short term.
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