Price trend
According to the Commodity Analysis System of SunSirs, the price of bromine has ended its decline since early July and has been rising all the way. At the beginning of July, the price of bromine was 18,000 RMB/ton. On August 11th, the price of bromine was 24,400 RMB/ton, an increase of 35.56%. As of now, the mainstream quotation for bromine in Shandong is around 24,000-25,000 RMB/ton, while the mainstream quotation in the North China market is around 24,000-26,000 RMB/ton.
Analysis review
Supply-side: With the arrival of the rainy season in July and August, seawater bromine manufacturers reduced production, bromine production was decreased, and supply was decreased by about one-third. Data showed that the operating rate of bromine enterprises was less than 70% as of August 9th, with a month on month decrease of about 9.8%. In early July, bromine manufacturers continued to explore an increase, but the transaction was average. Downstream flame retardants and pesticide intermediates were resistant to the constantly rising bromine, while bromine companies were reluctant to sell, engaging in a supply-demand game, and bromine prices continued to rise.
Downstream aspect: Downstream flame retardants, pesticide intermediates, and other industries recently started construction commonly, with average demand and a focus on wait-and-see. Tetrabromobisphenol A, the mainstream offer was around 26,000-26,500 RMB/ton, with a single negotiation for more actual orders. Terminal demand was average, and price driving force was insufficient. Market transactions were still mainly focused on just in demand procurement, and the industry's mentality was lingering with the increase in quotation, with a wait-and-see sentiment.
Upstream product: Sulfur prices had risen, with an average market price of 713.33 RMB/ton in early July. On August 9th, the average market price was 956.67 RMB/ton, with a price increase of 34.11%. The inventory of manufacturers remained rational, with positive demand support from the end industry. The inventory of manufacturers was low, and the sulfur market had a strong upward trend. The supply and demand side was also positive, and it is expected that the short-term sulfur market will continue to be stronger.
Market outlook
Analysts from SunSirs believe that the price of bromine was improving recently, while the downstream flame retardant and intermediate industries of bromine had average support. Data showed that the pharmaceutical intermediate industry was expected to undergo maintenance for 15-20 days. The spot supply of bromine was decreased due to the rainy season, and the supply and demand of both parties were in a game. Downstream companies hoped to find low-priced options, while bromine companies hoped for high prices. However, as the price of bromine increased, there was resistance in the downstream market. The overall upward space for bromine may be limited, and after the increase, it may maintain a consolidation operation, depending on the downstream market demand.
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