The recent (9.28-10.10) spot market for BR has weakened and declined after the holiday. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, as of October 10th, the market price of BR in East China was 12,850 RMB/ton, a decrease of 3.24% from 13,280 RMB/ton before the holiday.
The price of raw material butadiene has stabilized at a high level, while the cost of BR still has support. The overall inventory pressure of BR has increased, coupled with weak downstream inquiries after the holiday, the supply price of BR has gradually decreased, and the BR market has adjusted downward. As of October 10th, the mainstream domestic BR market reported 12,300-13,100 RMB/ton.
Recently (9.28-10.10), the butadiene market has stabilized at a high level, and there is still some support for the cost of cis-1,4-polyBR. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, as of October 10th, the price of butadiene was at 8,710 RMB/ton, which is unchanged from before the holiday.
Demand side: Tire production has fluctuated slightly, but due to pre holiday stocking, rubber inquiries are relatively light after the holiday.
SunSirs analysts believe that the high price consolidation of BR raw materials, expected increase in supply pressure of BR, and fewer downstream post holiday inquiries are expected. It is expected that the spot market of BR will maintain a weak and volatile trend in the short term.
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