Price trend

According to data from SunSirs, the price of seamless tubes slightly increased on the 24th, with 20# and 108 * 4.5 seamless tubes priced at 4,707.5 RMB/ton, up 1.62% from the previous trading day.

Analysis review

Upstream: This week, the mainstream prices of steel mill billets remained stable and declined, with some ex factory prices decreasing by 20-30 RMB/ton compared to the previous week.

The upstream tube blank factory execution quotation had been increased by 10 RMB/ton to 3,610 RMB/ton. Liaocheng and Linyi area management factories had received notices of environmental production restrictions, and due to the impact of environmental production restrictions, the start of production had decreased to about 30%. The inventory of conventional specifications in the factories was relatively tight. It is reported that a blast furnace in Luli, Shandong was scheduled to undergo maintenance until early February, but its produced tube billets were mainly supplied to its own tube factory, so it had little impact on the market. Recently, the transactions with the management factory had not been bad, so the management factory had a willingness to raise prices.

Market outlook

Overall, the steel mills were in a stage of sustained losses and had a strong willingness to take advantage of the situation to explore. It is expected that the price of seamless tubes will remain stable and rise in the short term.

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