Price trend
According to the monitoring data of SunSirs, the price of caustic soda rose strongly this week. The average price in Shandong market at the beginning of the week was about 1,062 RMB/ton, and the average market price in Shandong at the weekend was 1,174 RMB/ton, the price increased by 10.55%, and the price increased by 6.97% compared with the same period last year.
On September 22, the caustic soda commodity index was 164.60, an increase of 6.33 points from the previous day, a decrease of 38.00% from the highest point in the cycle of 265.47 points (2021-10-27), and an increase of 152.80% from the lowest point of 65.11 points on October 09, 2020. (Note: The cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to the present)
Analysis review
According to the survey data of SunSirs, the price of domestic caustic soda rose this week. On the 23rd, the average market price of caustic soda in Shandong was around 1,080-1,250 RMB/ton. The mainstream ex-factory quotation of 32% liquid caustic soda in Hebei was around 1,100-1,200 RMB/ton. Affected by the maintenance of major enterprises, 32% of liquid caustic soda in Shandong rose strongly. And as the National Day holiday was approaching, downstream companies stocked up, and the transaction atmosphere was better than the previous period. On the export side, the increase in export orders was good for caustic soda.
According to the price monitoring of SunSirs, in the 37th week of 2022 (9.12-9.16), there were 1 commodity that rose in the price change list of the chlor-alkali industry, 3 commodities fell, and a total of 1 commodity had a price change of 0. The main commodities that rose were: light soda ash (0.38%); the main commodities that fell were: calcium carbide (-2.25%), PVC (-0.51%), caustic soda (-0.38%). This week's average change was -0.55%.
Market outlook
The analyst of SunSirs believes that the price of caustic soda was running well recently, and the purchasing demand of downstream alumina was better than the previous period, and the overall increased. And the holiday was approaching, stocked up before the holiday. It is generally expected that caustic soda will still have room for improvement next week, depending on the downstream market demand.
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