Recently (10.14-10.22), the nitrile rubber market (NBR) has been consolidating weakly. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, as of October 22, the price of NBR was 16,550 RMB/ton, which was the same as the price on October 14. On the one hand, the cost center of NBR has shifted downwards, and on the other hand, downstream demand has provided support, resulting in a weak consolidation of the NBR market. As of October 22, the mainstream market price for Lanhua 3305 in East China is around 16,200-16,200 RMB/ton; The mainstream market price for nitrile 3665 in Russia is around 15,800-16,000 RMB/ton; The mainstream market price for Nandi Nitrile 1052 is around 17,300 to 17,400 RMB/ton.
Recently (October 14-1022), the prices of raw materials such as butadiene and acrylonitrile have weakened, and the cost support for NBR has weakened. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, as of October 22, the price of butadiene was 8,333 RMB/ton, a decrease of 1.34% from 8,446 RMB/ton on October 14; As of October 22, the price of acrylonitrile was 7,800 RMB/ton, a decrease of 0.85% from the price of 7,866 RMB/ton at the beginning of the month.
Recently (October 14-1022), the production of NBR plants in China has decreased; The 60,000 tons/year NBR plant of Zhenjiang Nandi will start to gradually shut down and enter the maintenance cycle from October 22, 2025.
After the holiday, the production of downstream NBR hoses in China increased by around 60%, and the production of insulation foam increased by around 54%. This mainly supports the demand for NBR, but there is resistance to high priced sources.
SunSirs NBR analyst believes that the cost support for NBR is currently weak; Downstream demand for support but resistance to high priced sources, it is expected that the NBR market will consolidate weakly in the later stage.
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